The winner of Wednesday's G3 Geelong Cup [2400m] could rocket into calculations for the Melbourne Cup so here's our TBF Ratings on the country feature.

TRACK: Soft 5
WEATHER: Sunny day in Geelong with a top of 21.
TRACKWALKER: Early information suggests rails in run settling on speed or forward of midfield some advantage.
EARLY SPEED: TBF data has HERMAN HESSE kicking up from the inside. We are forecasting SHABAU is fit enough to push forward and we suspect Maher/Eustace won't want another hard luck story with INTERPRETATION so expect him to be in the first four. The likes of then its LA DRAGONTEA, AURORA'S SYMPHONY and GROVE FERRY won't be far off.

TBF RATINGS: We have INTERPRETATION finally breaking through here but he's not a complete standout on ratings. He wasn't ready for a gut-buster two starts back and then we have him going a tad flat last start in The Bart Cummings despite still being good. He'll bounce off that and peak today with what looks a terrific run in transit for him. The mail out of Werribee is that Rodrigo Diaz is airborne so keep an eye on the market, Surefire sat near last in a slowly run Turnbull Stakes and made his run in lane 12, where no winner came all day - total forgive. Our roughie for the race is TEAM CAPTAIN who has been rating within 2-3 lengths of the favourite and is $26 albeit he lacks the upside of the fav.
TBF BET: INTERPRATATION [12] WIN & in QUINELLAS with 6,7,18.
**We'd also suggest taking the $26 at Sportsbet about INTERPRETATION to win the Melbourne Cup. We think he'll win and get a 2kg penalty [Runaway won with 54kg in 2018 and got 1.5kg]. If he gets that he should just scrape into the field. Good news is, if we're wrong, you'll get a refund courtesy of Sportsbet's 'Futures Insurance'.
STATS FOR THE MEETING
JOCKEY WATCH: Jamie Kah is 5 from 12 over the past 12 months at Geelong boasting a strike rate of 48 per cent and showing a 31 per cent ROI.
TRAINER WATCH: Paddy Payne has 5 wins from 16 runners at Geelong over the last year with a 30 per cent ROI.
Good Luck!
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