NRL 2026 - SEMI FINALS
Here are the stats and predictions for the upcoming round of the NRL.
These are the notes I use for 2GB radio and other media gigs for NRL updates.
DOLPHINS V ROOSTERS
Roosters lead the overall H2H 4-3, while it’s locked at 2-2 at Suncorp.
The Dolphins have won both meetings this year - 48-10 in June when the Roosters were heavily depleted through Origin, then 26-12 on August 29. That second result also needs context - Sam Walker went off in the 53rd minute with the Roosters trailing 26-6.
Points have flowed in this match-up - 4 of the last 5 H2Hs have produced 62+ points.
Herbie Farnworth and Robert Toia are both flying - each has scored in their last 4 NRL matches.
Curly stat - Max Plath has scored in his last 2 against the Chooks.
TIP: OVER 44.5PTS / TOIA ATS / FARNWORTH ATS - $8.10
LONGSHOT: OVER 44.5PTS / TOIA ATS / FARNWORTH ATS / MAX PLATH ATS - $30
PENRITH V NEWCASTLE
Penrith lead the overall H2H 31-25 and have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.
This one is at Accor Stadium. Newcastle have already played there twice this season - narrowly losing to Souths in R19 after comfortably beating the Dogs in R4. Penrith's only game at Accor this year was a R6 loss to the Dogs.
The Panthers' finals record is the standout - they've won their last 11 finals matches played at home.
Casey McLean has crossed 3 times in 4 games against Newcastle, while Nathan Cleary has 8 tries from 12 games against the Knights.
TIP: PANTHERS / CLEARY ATS / MCLEAN ATS - $10.75
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