ROSEHILL | November 7

TBF

4 hours ago

5 min read

Here is your analysis of the Quaddie for the feature meeting this Saturday.

How Quaddie Hunter works;

We’ll provide a preview of each leg separating the chances into 3 categories;

BEST = Best winning chance(s)

DANGERS = Most likely challenger(s)

LONGSHOTS = Winning chance(s) $20+

The VERDICT is our top selection for the race.

Play the numbers in the preview or follow the summary.

R7 TOYOTA FORKLIFTS HOT DANISH STAKES (G2) – 1400M

1 X311 LAZZURA — Tommy Berry (2) $1.45

2 0X48 TUILERIES — Tyler Schiller (3) $8

3 4X14 GERRINGONG — Nash Rawiller (9) $6.50

4 1X20 ARABIAN ROSE — Ben Thompson (7) $17

5 X139 MODELLA — Kerrin McEvoy (10) $34

6 0800 FIRESTORM — Tim Clark (4) $126

7 6666 DARK GLITTER — Anna Roper (6) $101

8 13X1 CHAINS OF LOVE — Zac Lloyd (8) $9

10 1X92 SURF’S UP — Jason Collett (1) $26

11 8260 MARETH — Dylan Gibbons (5) $126

BEST

LAZZURA – The horse to beat at level weights and should land on speed from gate two. She’s never led a race, so ideally something gives her a trail, but she can control proceedings if nothing else wants the job.

DANGERS

CHAINS OF LOVE – Won the Kosciuszko with real grit. This race presents a different challenge, particularly with the lack of an obvious leader, but she’s hard to criticise.

GERRINGONG – Has won this preparation and gets Nash Rawiller aboard. The wide draw means she pushes on, which plays to her strengths.

LONGSHOTS

SURF’S UP – Can settle handy from the inside and her liking for Rosehill gives her a chance to improve. Maps to be in the right spot if this develops into a sprint home.

VERDICT

LAZZURA gets every opportunity at level weights and from a favourable draw. The lack of a leader adds some tactical interest, but she can sit close enough to take luck out of the equation. Happy to stand her out in the opening leg.

R7 SUMMARY: 1-3-10

CHAMPIONS MILE PREVIEW

R8 FIVE DIAMONDS (G3) – 1800M

1 X432 LINEBACKER — Zac Lloyd (7) $5.50

2 X522 TUXEDO — Opie Bosson (1) $9

3 1907 EVAPORATE — Nash Rawiller (4) $8

4 X680 ATHANATOS — Luke Cartwright (6) $61

6 0X00 IMPERIALIST — Sam Clipperton (12) $201

7 X323 VERONA ROSE — Kerrin McEvoy (3) $7

8 3101 DECLICHY BOULEVARD — Tommy Berry (5) $4.20

9 X644 PLYMOUTH — Tim Clark (2) $10

10 7X34 ZAMBARDO — Dylan Gibbons (10) $10

11 6133 WELCOMETOTHESHOW — Craig Newitt (9) $7.50

12 1221 BRINDAVAN — Ben Thompson (8) $13

13 0X08 LORD PENMAN — Jason Collett (13) $126

14 1867 MR CHAPLIN — Andrew Adkins (11) $41

BEST

WELCOMETOTHESHOW – Was a little slow away in the lead-up and found himself boxed in. Didn’t build momentum until well past the furlong before working into the top three. With room to wind up earlier, he can turn the tables.

DANGERS

LINEBACKER – Meets DECLICHY BOULEVARD 2.5kg better at the weights after finishing second in the lead-up. That swing gives him a strong chance to reverse the result.

DECLICHY BOULEVARD – Won the lead-up and may settle closer from gate five. The weight swing favours LINEBACKER, but a more economical run keeps her firmly in contention.

VERONA ROSE – Steps up to 1800m with solid form behind her. Can settle handy from gate three and should get every opportunity to see out the trip.

TUXEDO – The New Zealand visitor usually does his best work from off the speed but was left in front a long way from home in his latest Group 1, allowing WAITAK the last crack. A well-timed run from the inside draw gives him claims.

LONGSHOTS

BRINDAVAN – Arrives off a win and looks one of the main pace influences alongside EVAPORATE. Could give a sight if allowed to dictate.

VERDICT

WELCOMETOTHESHOW gets the nod after an interrupted run in the lead-up. BRINDAVAN and EVAPORATE should provide the speed, with PLYMOUTH and VERONA ROSE handy. LINEBACKER gets a useful weight swing against DECLICHY BOULEVARD, while VERONA ROSE maps to have her chance at the longer trip.

R8 SUMMARY: 11-1-7-2-8-12

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R9 GRANT BURGE (BM78) – 1100M

1 6X8X SWORDPLAY — Amber Riddell (10) $4.80

2 0X34 MERCY ME — Tim Clark (4) $3.90

3 6X07 REGIMENTAL COLOURS — Mollie Fitzgerald (5) $19

6 X11X DETAIN — Ashley Morgan (7) $29

7 X526 SCENIC POINT — Andrew Adkins (9) $8

8 0X76 SHE’S MY EX — Tyler Schiller (8) $26

9 X433 AGATHA — Tommy Berry (1) $4

10 X378 FLIGHTCREW — Dylan Gibbons (6) $21

11 14X5 SHOW BUSINESS — Zac Lloyd (3) $4.80

12 0X44 OUTBACK ANGEL — Siena Grima (2) $67

BEST

SHOW BUSINESS – Was restrained well back at Warwick Farm before hitting the line in encouraging fashion. Gate three gives her the chance to settle much closer, just behind the speed. That puts her right in play.

DANGERS

AGATHA – Racing well without winning and looks well placed despite stepping up a little in grade. Tommy Berry can save ground from the inside, with clear running at the right time the main consideration.

SWORDPLAY – Resumes and has the speed to press forward from the outside. Could take some catching if she gets across without spending too much petrol.

LONGSHOTS

DETAIN – Resumes off consecutive wins and looks one of the main pace influences. Can give a sight if allowed to find a comfortable rhythm in front.

VERDICT

SHOW BUSINESS gets a much friendlier draw after an encouraging return and can settle within striking distance. DETAIN and SWORDPLAY should provide the speed, with SHOW BUSINESS and FLIGHTCREW handy. AGATHA is the main danger from the inside, while SWORDPLAY stays in the quaddie.

R9 SUMMARY: 11-9-1

R10 KIA ORA BLOODLINES TO HEADLINES (BM78) – 1200M

1 X221 ESMAHLI — Nash Rawiller (8) $5

2 1719 ANNIE’S ROSE — Mollie Fitzgerald (9) $13

3 7X92 MAILATA — Zac Lloyd (7) $17

4 45X6 NITRO — Tom Sherry (6) $5

5 5221 LET’S GO AGAIN — Andrew Adkins (3) $14

6 125X NULLARBOR JANE — Anna Roper (4) $12

7 819X PERFECT PICTURE — Kerrin McEvoy (11) $26

8 00X6 SAXOBUSHI — Jason Collett (5) $29

9 67X3 HORSESHOE HILL — Tommy Berry (1) $2.25

12 1305 ATMOSPHERIC ROCK — Winona Costin (10) $91

13 4212 CHEMTRAIL — Siena Grima (2) $34

BEST

NITRO – Was slow away and settled at the back first-up before producing a meritorious run. Jumped better in his Gosford trial on October 28, although he still didn’t ping out. A cleaner beginning gives him the chance to settle closer and show more second-up.

DANGERS

ESMAHLI – Arrives off a win following consecutive seconds and commands respect if he runs here rather than Flemington. Nash Rawiller takes the ride and he’s one of the main chances.

HORSESHOE HILL – Draws to get an economical run with Tommy Berry aboard. Comes through a solid form race, with winner BRUCE I AM winning again at Randwick on Tuesday. A major threat.

LONGSHOTS

MAILATA – Comes off a second and gets Zac Lloyd aboard. Worth including at the price, particularly if he can find cover from gate seven.

VERDICT

LET’S GO AGAIN and NULLARBOR JANE look the main speed. NITRO gets the nod on his first-up effort, with a cleaner jump crucial to his chances. ESMAHLI warrants respect if he takes his place, while HORSESHOE HILL has the draw and a useful form reference. MAILATA provides the value inclusion.

R10 SUMMARY: 4-1-9-3