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After a solid session with the TBF Database, here are our selections for the G1 Black Caviar Lightning [1000m] at Flemington on Saturday.
NATURE STRIP is the early favourite as he aims for his second victory in the dash following an impressive win two years ago. Our data report below shows two of Nature Strip's main dangers - MARABI & COOLANGATTA - will test the sprinting giant through the early stages of Australia's premier 1000m race.
Video watchers will note NATURE STRIP is typically at his most vulnerable when tested through the first 400m of a race and these two girls have the ability to do that.
MARABI has been off for 47 weeks and a market watch is advised. We'd like to see her hold her current $9 quote, a significant drift could indicate she's not ready for this assignment. If she's near her best of 96 then she'll test NATURE STRIP, who hasn't hit 95 since winning the 2021 VRC Sprint.
COOLANGATTA excels being fresh, is a genuine 1000m horse and has trialled like a bomb. But she'll need either a new PB here or for MARABI and NATURE STRIP to run below their recent marks of 96 and 95.
BELLA NIPOTINA needs to take brilliant Moonee Valley numbers to the straight racing of Flemington while BALLER looks an interesting conveyance here. He's only had one run at 1000m and it was a total forgive plus his straight numbers are pretty solid batting around that 92-mark.
You can get a report for every race at Flemington on Saturday by clicking the link below. Good luck!
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