Saturday Bets! 2025 Golden Rose Stakes

G1 racing this Saturday in Sydney will see the 23rd running of the Golden Rose Stakes over 1400m under Set Weights for the 3YOs at Rosehill Gardens.  

Originally titled the Peter Pan Stakes, the Golden Rose eventuated into a follow-up in the Spring for the 3YOs after the Golden Slipper in the Autumn. It also sets up a natural path towards the Caulfield Guineas with GOLDEN MILE (2022), ANAMOE (2021), OLE KIRK (2020) and THE AUTUMN SUN (2018) all placing in the Golden Rose before going one step better and taking out the Guineas later in the Spring.

Trainer/Jockey Chat

Good news for the punters looking for some confidence back the Favourite - Ethan Brown is the Form Jockey heading into the Golden Rose with Brown exceeding market expectations by 29% in his last 100 rides and is 17% above his career strike rate.

Brown links up with Leading Trainer Ciaron Maher for the Golden Rose. Despite being down 3% on market expectations in his last 100 rides, Maher still has the best % compared to all the other Trainers in the Golden Rose. Maher takes Favourite TEMPTED and STATE VISIT to Rosehill this Saturday.

Here are the historical stats and trends to help you land the winner of the 2025 edition:

• 6 Favourites have taken out the Golden Rose since 2003 striking at 26%. BROADSIDING was Favourite and won in 2024 – the Favourite that won before that was BIVOUAC in 2019.

  
  

• Backing the Favourites has not been a profitable exercise for the average punter – quite the opposite. A $100 stake on the Favourite each year since 2003 would see you down $595.

  
  

• There seems to be a sweet spot for winning SPs when the Favourites do not win – 9 of the last 11 winners who were not Favourites had SPs of $4.40 to $7.50.

  
  

• In the past 22 years, Barriers 1 to 4 have produced 10 winners (45%) demonstrating inside gates are the place to be. This has been highlighted in recent years too with 4 of the last 5 winners jumping from Barriers 1 to 4.

  
  

• Winners have generally found themselves in the second half of the field as they make the turn for home – 7 winners in the past decade have been positioned between 6th and 11th at the 400m.

  
  

• The Fillies' record stands at one win and six placings from 48 starters since 2003. The one winner - FORENSICS in 2008 - is also the only Golden Rose/Golden Slipper double winner since its inception.

  
  

• The Run To The Rose has been the obvious lead-up to the Golden Rose – 9 of the last 13 winners raced in the Run To The Rose prior to the Golden Rose. BIVOUAC was the last Run To The Rose/Golden Rose double winner in 2019.

  
  

• In that same 13-year period, 9 winners placed in their lead-up race prior to the Golden Rose.

  
  

• Saddlecloths 6 and 9 have never won the Golden Rose.

  
  

• Chris Waller has 4 runners in the race (BEIWACHT, WODETON, AUTUMN BOY and SIXTIES) - if one of them wins on Saturday, Waller will become Leading Trainer of the Golden Rose with 4 wins.

Get Nic Ashman's insights into this weekend's racing including the predicted track pattern for Rosehill via the latest episode of our Saturday Bets! podcast below.

To maximise your chances based on historical data, look for a runner who is:

• A horse jumping from an inside gate

• Somewhere around the $4.40 to $7.50 SP range

• Not a Filly

Andy's Tip: 4. WODETON $4.60

If you want to follow Run To The Rose form - back TEMPTED. But with the Fillies only securing one win in 22 years and unlucky Saddlecloth, historically TEMPTED is up against it. So this is where that sweet spot range for SPs kicks in - and WODETON pops up. An OP of $4.60 and jumping from Barrier 1 - a position all too familiar with J-Mac after riding BROADSIDING to victory from Barrier 1 last year. The confidence is on him to repeat the trip and fly home from the second half of the field and turn the tables on TEMPTED.

Nic Ashman's Tip:

No.4 WODETON $4.60

His debut win was sensational and we thought he'd be the 2YO dominator but he waned before some super efforts at G1 level in the Golden Slipper and Sires Produce. It's the latter that wins me over here. The Sires was run at a brutal tempo and he was 3 wide no cover but stuck on gamely. That proved he could run the trip despite previous concerns. TEMPTED/SKYHOOK still gotta tick that box.

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