Saturday Bets! 2025 Toorak Handicap
- Nic Ashman
- 2 days ago
- 2 min read
The Toorak Handicap has long been one of the great Caulfield miles, producing upsets, star gallopers and a set of repeatable trends that punters can follow.

2025 TOORAK HANDICAP market supplied by Pointsbet

SPEED MAP - TRANSATLANTIC TO CROSS AND LEAD

Here are the historical stats and trends to help you land the winner of the 2025 edition:
MARKET
Favourites have rewarded punters. If you had $100 on the win of every favourite since 2000, you’d be up $1,340.
Notable winning favourites include MORE JOYOUS (2010), HE’S OUR ROKKII (2016) and I’M THUNDERSTRUCK (2021).
Roughies do figure — ALLEZ WONDER ($41 in 2009), MR QUICKIE ($21 in 2020) and ATTRITION ($26 in 2023).
AGE
4YOs — 8 winners since 2000 (I’M THUNDERSTRUCK 2021, ATTRITION 2023).
5–6YOs — nearly half the winners (SHOT OF THUNDER 2002, ANTINO 2024).
7YOs rare but not impossible — KING MUFHASA 2011, TOSEN STARDOM 2017.
BARRIERS
Double digit gates ok — LAND OF PLENTY (barrier 18 in 2018), FIERCE IMPACT (barrier 15 in 2019) and ATTRITION (barrier 10 in 2023) proved that.
Low draws have also produced results, such as HE’S OUR ROKKII (barrier 1 in 2016) and TUVALU (barrier 1 in 2022).
Overall, winners have come from across the spectrum, showing barriers play less of a role at Caulfield over the mile.
LEAD-UP FORM
Here are the key lead-up races since 2000;
Rupert Clarke Stakes → 9 winners (REGAL ROLLER 2004, BARELY A MOMENT 2005, DIVINE MADONNA 2007, SOLZHENITSYN 2012/13, TRUST IN A GUST 2014, LUCKY HUSSLER 2015, I’M THUNDERSTRUCK 2021, TUVALU 2022). That said, TRUST IN A GUST is the last horse to do the doube and 5 of those 9 finished 2nd or 3rd.
Feehan Stakes → 3 winners (RED DAZZLER 2006, ATTRITION 2023, ANTINO placed here 2024).
The Toorak profile:
Age: 4–6YOs dominate (20 of last 25).
Lead-up form: Most winners come via the Rupert Clarke
2025 Toorak Hcp
Only one horse fits the historical profile;
SEPALS (4YO, $4.40fav, Sir Rupert Clark lead-up)
FEROCE (4YO, Sir Rupert Clarke lead-up and was placed)
Meanwhile, our database and resident form guru Nic Ashman have provided their tips.

TBF DATA SELECTION
No.4 FEROCE $12

NIC ASHMAN'S TIP
No.11 ATHANATOS EW $18
Good luck and Happy Punting!
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