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Saturday Bets! 2025 Toorak Handicap

The Toorak Handicap has long been one of the great Caulfield miles, producing upsets, star gallopers and a set of repeatable trends that punters can follow.


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2025 TOORAK HANDICAP market supplied by Pointsbet


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SPEED MAP - TRANSATLANTIC TO CROSS AND LEAD

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Here are the historical stats and trends to help you land the winner of the 2025 edition:


MARKET

  • Favourites have rewarded punters. If you had $100 on the win of every favourite since 2000, you’d be up $1,340.

  • Notable winning favourites include MORE JOYOUS (2010), HE’S OUR ROKKII (2016) and I’M THUNDERSTRUCK (2021).

  • Roughies do figure — ALLEZ WONDER ($41 in 2009), MR QUICKIE ($21 in 2020) and ATTRITION ($26 in 2023).


AGE

  • 4YOs — 8 winners since 2000 (I’M THUNDERSTRUCK 2021, ATTRITION 2023).

  • 5–6YOs — nearly half the winners (SHOT OF THUNDER 2002, ANTINO 2024).

  • 7YOs rare but not impossible — KING MUFHASA 2011, TOSEN STARDOM 2017.


BARRIERS

  • Double digit gates ok — LAND OF PLENTY (barrier 18 in 2018), FIERCE IMPACT (barrier 15 in 2019) and ATTRITION (barrier 10 in 2023) proved that.

  • Low draws have also produced results, such as HE’S OUR ROKKII (barrier 1 in 2016) and TUVALU (barrier 1 in 2022).

  • Overall, winners have come from across the spectrum, showing barriers play less of a role at Caulfield over the mile.


LEAD-UP FORM

Here are the key lead-up races since 2000;

  • Rupert Clarke Stakes → 9 winners (REGAL ROLLER 2004, BARELY A MOMENT 2005, DIVINE MADONNA 2007, SOLZHENITSYN 2012/13, TRUST IN A GUST 2014, LUCKY HUSSLER 2015, I’M THUNDERSTRUCK 2021, TUVALU 2022). That said, TRUST IN A GUST is the last horse to do the doube and 5 of those 9 finished 2nd or 3rd.

  • Feehan Stakes → 3 winners (RED DAZZLER 2006, ATTRITION 2023, ANTINO placed here 2024).


The Toorak profile:

  • Age: 4–6YOs dominate (20 of last 25).

  • Lead-up form: Most winners come via the Rupert Clarke


2025 Toorak Hcp

Only one horse fits the historical profile;

  • SEPALS (4YO, $4.40fav, Sir Rupert Clark lead-up) 

  • FEROCE (4YO, Sir Rupert Clarke lead-up and was placed)


Meanwhile, our database and resident form guru Nic Ashman have provided their tips.


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TBF DATA SELECTION

No.4 FEROCE $12



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NIC ASHMAN'S TIP

No.11 ATHANATOS EW $18




Good luck and Happy Punting!


NIC ASHMAN'S DETAILED FEATURE RACE TIPS via PODCAST BELOW



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NIC ASHMAN'S FEATURE RACE TIPS via the Podcast below





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