Saturday Bets! 2025 Turnbull Stakes
- Nic Ashman
- Oct 1
- 2 min read
The TURNBULL STAKES at Flemington has long been the spring launching pad for champions, but its history is as much about booby traps for punters as it is about big-race glory.
2025 TURNBULL STAKES FIELD market supplied by Pointsbet
Here are the historical stats and trends to help you land the winner of the 2025 edition:
MARKET
7 favourites have won in the last 20 years.
Because WINX won it twice at prohibitive odds, the profitability of backing every favourite is not great. You'd be down $570 if you had $100 on every favourite since MAKYBE DIVA saluted in 2005.
Its been a good race for roughies with 8 of the last 20 starting double digit odds.
BARRIERS
NORTHERLY in 2002 was the last horse to win from barrier 1. Something for VIA SITINA fans to consider.
10 of the last 18 winners jumped from gates 5 to 8.
LEAD-UP FORM
It's been 12 years [HAPPY TRAIL 2013] since a winner came through the Underwood Stakes.
Last year's Turnbull Stakes winner VIA SISTINA won the Winx Stakes 1st-up and then ran 5th in the Makybe Diva. VIA SISTINA again won the Winx Stakes first-up and was 4th in the Turnbull.
AGE
For AELIANA fans, PREFERMENT [2015] was the last 4YO to win the race. Like AELIANA he was trained by Chris Waller.
8 of the last 9 winners have been either 6yo or 7yo
TRAINER
Chris Waller has won 6 of the last 10 editions. Only Lee Freedman, also on 6 compares.
TURNBULL FORM
It's one of the best Melbourne Cup guides with 9 Cup winners since 2000 coming through this race
9 Caulfield Cup winners since 2000 have also come through the Turnbull
8 Cox Plate winners since 2000 have come through the Turnbull Stakes
CHIP'S TIP - TBF computer chip selection based on historical stats and recent trends (not ratings)
The stats and trends that hold greatest significance are Market, Barriers and Age.
No.1 ANTINO (NZ) – Hits in the statistical sweet spot being 6YO, Barrier 6 and Double Figure Odds.
NIC ASHMAN'S TIP + TRACK REPORT FOR FLEMINGTON
Will be played in the first 60 sec of the podcast below so you don't have to listen to his dribble :)
Click here to get our popular TBF Tip Sheet for free this weekend. Here's last week's sheet;
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