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Writer's pictureAndrew Gulczynski

Saturday Bets! Caulfield Cup Runner by Runner Guide + The Everest

The Caulfield Cup takes centre stage in Melbourne this Saturday bringing together world renowned stayers to win one of Australia’s most famous races and one of the richest handicaps on the planet.

PHOTO: Nic Ashman's best longshot for a wet Caulfield Cup is $101 chance VALIANT KING


One of the oldest races in the country, first run in 1879, the Caulfield Cup is long regarded as the perfect audition for a Melbourne Cup in just over weeks' time. As a result, the Caulfield/Melbourne Cup Double has been achieved by greats such as LET’S ELOPE (1991), DORIEMUS (1995), MIGHT AND POWER (1997) and recently WITHOUT A FIGHT (2023).

CAULFIELD CUP STATS

·         9 of the last 12 winners have worn Saddlecloth 1 – 7

·         14 of the last 16 winners have won from Barriers 6 – 18

·         3 of the last 16 winners have been favourites

·         10 of the last 16 winners were priced at double figure odds

·         6 of the last 10 winners have 5 years old or younger

 

Tip Via The Stats: 

 

6. WARMONGER $15 – 2u

·         Saddlecloth 6; Barrier 16; Double figure odds; 4 year old; 53.5kg

13. ZARDOZI $7.50 – 1u

·         Barrier 12; Non favourite; 4 year old; 51kg

 

Works Burger subscribers will be cheering DENY KNOWLEDGE as we are on the Freedman-trained mare in futures markets at $201! She is coming off a career peak rating bagging her first G1 last Saturday.


If you'd like to trial the Works Burger tipping package for free you can grab it via the link below


Nic Ashman Tip

For Nic's runner-by-runner guide click the below podcast link!


 


THE EVEREST

The world’s richest race on turf will take place this Saturday as the eighth edition of The Everest will see arguably the best 12 sprinters in the country come together at Royal Randwick in pursuit of the biggest payday in racing.

 

Originating in 2017, The Everest in 2024 will see the race propelled to Group 1 status for the first time as the weight for age 1200m contest considered a pinnacle in sprint racing around the globe. As such, previous winners such as inaugural and double champion REDZEL (2017, 2018) and Everest/Royal Ascot winner NATURE STRIP (2021/2022) are held in high esteem.


THE EVEREST STATS

  • 5 out of the 7 winners have won from Barriers 1 – 6

  • 5 out of the 7 winners have been 58.5kg

  • 2 out of the 7 winners have been 3 year olds

  • 8 out of the 10 3 year olds that have raced in The Everest have been unplaced

  • 3 out of the 7 winners have been favourites

    • 3 of the previous 4 winners have been favourites

  • 1 out of the 7 winners have been at double figure odds (GIGA KICK 2022)

 

Tip Via The Stats: 

 

2. GIGA KICK $13 – 2u

·         58.5kg; 5 year old; Barrier 3

8. JOLIESTAR $6 – 1u

·         Favourite; 4 year old; Barrier 4


NIC ASHMAN TIP:

"I like TRAFFIC WARDEN back to 1200m and top class 3YOs have a great record in this race with YES YES YES and GIGA KICK winning. But the consistency of BELLA NIPOTINA is hard to ignore and then there's I WISH I WIN who saves his peak ratings for Randwick. Cracking race but I'll go with the blue army and TRAFFIC WARDEN"


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