Saturday Bets! 2025 The Everest
- Nic Ashman
- 1 day ago
- 3 min read
Updated: 2 hours ago
The world's richest race on turf is run this weekend at Randwick with the $20million The Everest.
KA YING RISING will go off a hot favourite despite a lacklustre trial at Randwick last week. If successful, he will be the 4th favourite to take out the G1 feature in 9 years.
2025 THE EVEREST
market supplied by PointsBet
SPEED MAP
KA YING RISING has the toe to lead but OVERPASS won't want to be wide no cover so he is likely to push on and cross at all costs. He might find the fence or sit outside MAZU pending how fast the latter wants to go. Zac Purton can get that lovely trail in behind a hot pace with 2-3L to the nearest horse behind him. KA YING RISING has the highest natural speed in the race, which means if the tempo is FAST then JOLIESTAR has to travel outside her comfortzone to hold his back.
Here are the historical stats and trends since 2017 to help you land the winner of the 2025 edition:
MARKET
Odds Range | Winners | Notable Examples |
Favourite | 3 | CLASSIQUE LEGEND (2020), NATURE STRIP (2021), THINK ABOUT IT (2023) |
Single Digits ($6–$10) | 4 | REDZEL (2017, 2018), YES YES YES (2019), BELLA NIPOTINA (2024) |
Double Digits ($11+) | 1 | GIGA KICK (2022) |
Profitability:$100 on every favourite (2017–2024) = $800 outlay → $1,230 return → +$430 profit (+53.75%)
Verdict: Favourites have actually turned a profit — rare for a major sprint — but most winners still sit in the single-digit range. Punters’ money usually lands in the right zone.
LEAD-UP RACE
Lead-Up | Winners | Key Names |
The Shorts | 3 | REDZEL (2017), CLASSIQUE LEGEND (2020), NATURE STRIP (2021) |
Premiere Stakes | 2 | THINK ABOUT IT (2023), BELLA NIPOTINA (2024) |
Concorde Stakes | 2 | REDZEL (2018), NATURE STRIP (2021) |
Golden Rose Path | 1 | YES YES YES (2019) |
Danehill Stakes | 1 | GIGA KICK (2022) |
LAST START PLACING
3 of the last 8 winners won their previous start.
4 winners came off a placing (2nd or 3rd), including Classique Legend (2nd Premiere Stk) and Nature Strip (2nd The Shorts).
Only one winner has finished worse than 3rd in their lead-up run — Redzel (5th in 2018).Verdict: Sydney’s premier sprints — The Shorts and Premiere Stakes — are the true Everest form lines. Horses coming off these races dominate.
AGE PROFILE
Age | Winners | Names |
3YO | 2 | YES YES YES, GIGA KICK |
4YO | 0 | — |
5YO | 3 | REDZEL, CLASSIQUE LEGEND, THINK ABOUT IT |
6YO | 1 | REDZEL |
7YO | 2 | NATURE STRIP, BELLA NIPOTINA |
BARRIERS
Barrier Range | Winners | Key Examples |
1–5 (Low) | 4 | REDZEL (2017, 2018), GIGA KICK (2022) |
6–9 (Middle) | 2 | CLASSIQUE LEGEND (2020), YES YES YES (2019) |
10+ (Wide) | 2 | NATURE STRIP (2021), BELLA NIPOTINA (2024) |
TRAINERS
Trainer | Wins | Horses |
P. & P. Snowden | 2 | REDZEL (2017, 2018) |
C. Waller | 2 | YES YES YES (2019), NATURE STRIP (2021) |
C. Maher | 1 | BELLA NIPOTINA (2024) |
Others | 3 | CLASSIQUE LEGEND, GIGA KICK, THINK ABOUT IT |
JOCKEYS
Jockey | Wins | Horses |
Kerrin McEvoy | 3 | REDZEL (x2), CLASSIQUE LEGEND |
Craig Williams | 2 | GIGA KICK, BELLA NIPOTINA |
James McDonald | 1 | NATURE STRIP |
Sam Clipperton | 1 | THINK ABOUT IT |
Glen Boss | 1 | YES YES YES |
WHO TICKS THE BOXES?
KA YING RISING and JOLIESTAR tick 4 out of 5 boxes each with WAR MACHINE the best roughie ticking 3.
Meanwhile, our TBF database and resident form guru, Nic Ashman, have provided their tips.
TBF DATA SELECTION
No.5 WAR MACHINE
NIC ASHMAN'S TIP
No.12 TEMPTED
"Outstanding victory in fast time in the Run To The Rose. Travelled into race but found 1400m too much in Golden Rose. Back to 1200m suits, is 2 from 2 course and distance."
Good luck and Happy Punting!
NIC ASHMAN'S DETAILED FEATURE RACE TIPS via PODCAST BELOW
NIC ASHMAN'S FEATURE RACE TIPS via the Podcast below
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